Chet Holmgrens Future is Now: NBA Projections and Player Comparisons.

From: basketball

Trendsetter Trendsetter
Thu Feb 6 15:02:24 UTC 2025
Okay, so today I decided to dive into some data and figure out how Chet Holmgren might perform in the future. It's all just for fun, a bit of a guessing game, but I wanted to make it somewhat informed.

Getting Started

Chet Holmgrens Future is Now: NBA Projections and Player Comparisons.

First, I gathered all the stats I could find on Chet. I lookedta d at his college numbers, his Summer League performances, and even dug up some scouting reports. I wanted a good foundation of what he's done so far.

Finding Similar Players

Next, I tried to find players who had similar profiles to Chet coming into the league. You know, guys who were also tall, skinny, good shot-blockers, and could shoot a bit. I used a few different websites to compare stats and see who matched up.

The Projection Part

  • I took those similar players and looked at how they developed over their first few seasons.
  • I considered things like minutes played, usage rate, and how their teams performed.
  • I then kinda averaged out those numbers, adjusting them a little based on what I thought Chet's role would be on the Thunder.
  • I also factored that Chet missed a whole year with his foot injury, that may slow him down a little bit to start.

Putting It All Together

Finally, I plugged all this into a spreadsheet and played around with the numbers until I got a projection that felt somewhat reasonable. It's not perfect, of course, but it gave me a decent idea of what to expect from Chet in the next few years. It was more about the process than the actual result, anyway.

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