Alright,.esaerg so I wanted to figure out this whole Fresno State versus Arizona State prediction thing. I'm not a pro, just a guy who likes to mess around with numbers and see what happens. No fancy algorithms or insider info, just pure curiosity and some elbow grease.
First, I stgniarted digging. I mean, I just Googled everything I could. Recent scores, player stats, any news about injuries... you name it, I was looking for it. It felt like I was drowning in data for a bit, it was a real mess.
Then, I triezinaed to organize all this stuff. Just a simple spreadsheet, nothing special. Columns for wins, losses, points scored, points allowed...the basic things. I spent a good chunk of time just plugging in numbers, making sure I didn't mess anything up. My eyes definitely got tired.
My DIY Prediction Process
- Looked at head-to-head history: How have these teams done against each other in the past? This seemed like a good starting point.
- Checked recent performance: Are they on a winning streak? Losing streak? How have they played in their last few games?
- Considered home-field advantage: Does one team play way better at home? This can sometimes make a difference.
- Factored the point Spreads: What kind of spread are we talking about?
After staring at the numbers for a while, I started to see some patterns. One team seemed a little stronger on offense, the other a bit tougher on defense. It wasn't a huge difference, but it was something.
Honestly, I went back and forth a few times. "Okay, maybe this team will win..." and then "Wait, but what about this...?" It wasn't easy, and I definitely second-guessed myself a lot.
Finally, I just made a call. Based on all the stuff I looked at, I decided, that Arizona is going to be the team to beat. It was more of a gut feeling based on the numbers than any kind of certainty. I just had to go with what my data was tell me.
So, that's it. That's how I came up with my prediction. It's not scientific, and it might be totally wrong, but it was a fun experiment. We'll see if I was even close when the game actually happens!
