Getting Started
First.setisbew things first, I needed some data. I mean, you can't predict anything without knowing what's happened before, right? So, I spent a good chunk of time just gathering information. I looked at several weather websites.
- Historical Dat:ataD laa:I am loo.sgniking for past weather patterns. Temperatures, rainfall, wind speeds, the whole nine yards. I wanted at least a few weeks' worth, maybe even a month, to get a good feel for things.
- Current Conditions: Obviously, I needed to know what the weather was doing right now. Was it sunny? Raining? Snowing sideways? This was crucial.
- forcasts: I want to see what the "pro" are saying.
The "Prediction" Process (aka, My Educated Guess)
Now, I'm no meteorologist. I'm not going to pretend I have some fancy algorithm or anything. It was more like...an educated guess, heavily influenced by what I found.
I looked at the current conditions. It was pretty clear and mild, which is a good start.
Then, I compared that to the recent past. Had it been consistently clear and mild? Or was this a sudden change? Turns out, it had been trending warmer for a few days.
I checked a few of the forecast websites. Most of them were agreeing on continued mild weather, maybe a slight chance of rain later in the week.
I combined all this info. My "prediction" was basically echoing what the major forecasts said, but with a bit more confidence (maybe misplaced!) based on the trends I saw in the historical data.
The Result
So, my prediction for Colorado today? Continued mild and mostly sunny, with a low chance of showers later in the week. Pretty standard stuff.I made sure to write down my prediction, along with the data I used. This way, I can check back tomorrow and see how I did.
This whole thing was more about the process than the actual prediction. It was fun to see how much information is out there and how you can piece it together to get a reasonable idea of what the weather might do. Will I be right? Who knows! But I'll definitely be checking tomorrow to find out.
