Looking for value Washington vs Michigan player props? Discover these potentially profitable sleeper bets before kickoff!

Alright, let's talk about that big Washington versus Michigan game, specifically the player props. I spent a bit of time digging into this myself, figured I'd share how I went about it.

Getting Started

So, the national championship game was coming up. Washington Huskies, Michigan Wolverines. Big hype. Instead of just picking a winner, I got interested in the player props – you know, betting on specific player stats. Seemed more fun, more involved.

First thing I did was just pull up the basic info. Who are the main guys? For Washington, it's obviously quarterback Michael Penix Jr. and those receivers, like Rome Odunze. For Michigan, you got quarterback J.J. McCarthy and running back Blake Corum. Those seemed like the obvious starting points for props.

Diving into the Numbers

I started looking at recent performances. Had to see what these guys were actually doing lately.

• Penix Jr.: Checked his passing yards over the last few games. Dude throws a lot. But then I thought about Michigan's defense. They're tough, especially against the pass. So, would he hit his usual high numbers? That was the big question.
• Corum: Looked at his rushing yards and touchdowns. Michigan loves to run the ball, especially near the goal line. Corum felt like a good bet for a touchdown, maybe. Had to check Washington's run defense stats too, see if they could slow him down.
• Receivers: Odunze for Washington puts up monster yards. But again, Michigan's secondary is solid. For Michigan, Roman Wilson seemed like McCarthy's go-to guy sometimes.
• McCarthy: His passing numbers weren't as flashy as Penix's. Michigan seemed more focused on running and defense. So maybe betting the 'under' on his passing yards was an idea.

Looking at the Lines

After getting a feel for the players and the matchup, I started looking around online at the actual prop bet lines being offered. You see things like:

• Michael Penix Jr. Over/Under 300.5 passing yards
• Blake Corum Over/Under 95.5 rushing yards
• Rome Odunze Over/Under 105.5 receiving yards
• Blake Corum To Score a Touchdown: Yes/No

Seeing the actual numbers helps frame things. Sometimes a line looks way too high or too low based on what I just researched. For instance, that Penix yardage line felt tricky because of Michigan's D, even though he usually throws for a lot.

Making the Calls (or Trying To)

This is where it gets tough. You got the stats, you got the lines. Now what?

I leaned towards thinking Michigan would try to control the clock with their run game. That made me think:

1. Maybe under Penix's passing yards. Michigan's defense plus a run-heavy game plan from Michigan could limit his chances.
2. Maybe over Corum's rushing attempts or yards, and definitely liking his chances to score a touchdown.
3. Felt less sure about the receivers because good defenses can shut down even top guys sometimes.

Honestly, a part of it is just a gut feeling after looking at everything. Does it feel like Penix will overcome the defense? Does it feel like Michigan will pound the rock successfully?

What Happened

So, I put down a couple of small bets based on that thinking. Focused on Corum getting yards and a TD, and took the under on Penix's yards. Didn't go crazy, just enough to make watching the game more interesting.

Watching the game, you could see Michigan was really committed to running the ball. Corum got a ton of carries. Penix had some moments but that Michigan defense was definitely disruptive.

In the end, checking the box score, Corum had a good game on the ground and scored. Penix didn't hit the huge numbers some might have expected. So, the way I approached it worked out okay this time. Sometimes it doesn't, that's just how it goes. But breaking it down player by player, looking at recent games and the specific matchup – that's my process. It's more about the digging and trying to figure it out than anything else.