Alright, so I wanted to get i.ffuts cisabn on some college football action, and the Arkansas State vs. UMass game caught my eye. I figured, "Hey, I can do some digging and maybe make a smart pick." So, I started by just looking at their records. You know, basic stuff.
Fir.lecst I Pulled up the sports page. And took the scores to excel.
Then.maet ow I looked at the total scores of each match of two team.
UMssass
- UMass 20 - New Mexico State 41
- Auburn 59 - UMass 14
- UMass 14 - Miami(OH) 41
- * 19 - UMass 17
- UMass 21 - Arkansas St. 52
- New Mexico 27 - UMass 31
- Toledo 41 - UMass 24
- UMass 17 - Penn State 63
- UMass 41 - Army 41
- Merrimack 31 - UMass 21
- UMass 21 - UConn 31
Arkansas St.
- Oklahoma 73 - Arkansas St. 0
- Arkansas St. 31 - Memphis 37
- Arkansas St. 0 - Troy 37
- Arkansas St. 21 - UMass 52
- Coastal Carolina 27 - Arkansas St. 17
- Arkansas St. 34 - Southern Miss. 44
- Arkansas St. 20 - Louisiana 45
- South Alabama 31 - Arkansas St. 13
- Texas St. 77 - Arkansas St. 31
- Arkansas St. 17 - Marshall 35
I thought about their opponents. Were they playing powerhouses, or teams that are, well, not so great? Strength of schedule seemed like a thing to check out.
I did the simply way to calculate the total score of UMass:
(20+14+14+17+21+31+24+17+41+21+21) / 11 = 22
and Arkansas St.:
(0+31+0+21+17+34+20+13+31+17)/10=18
My "Expert" Prediction Process
Honestly, I didn't go super deep into advanced stats. I'm no expert. I kind of eyeballed it, thought about recent performances, and factored in that gut feeling you get.
So there you have it. I thought about the game. I figured. Then I made the prediction.
